Zhou Hongchun, a researcher at the State Council Development Research Center: Cultivating green buildings will form a new economic growth point. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and step up the comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development. In this regard, Zhou Hongchun, a researcher at the the State Council Development Research Center, said that reducing carbon, reducing pollution and expanding green growth is the proper logic for China's high-quality economic development. The essence is to strengthen systematic thinking, pay attention to the coordination of various policies and reform and opening-up measures, and realize the green transformation and sustainable development of China's economy and society.Macquarie Asset Management is considering selling its Indian highway portfolio.Guotai Junan: It is suggested that the beauty care sector with product and channel changes and flexibility should be optimized from the bottom up. Guotai Junan said that after the pressure of consumption in 2022 and the destocking of consumers in 2023, the beauty consumption will return to the normal purchase cycle in 2024, and the industry prosperity will improve month-on-month, and the double-digit growth of online beauty will be achieved. However, after the channel dividend subsided, the platform traffic and price competition became fierce, and the brand differentiation further intensified. Relying on the product innovation and channel operation ability brought by organizational efficiency, the performance of domestic products in the head is still bright, and the rise of new domestic products has spread from beauty cosmetics to personal care. Looking forward to 2025, the market risk appetite will be significantly restored. Because of its many changes and the rising trend of domestic products as a whole, the American nursing sector has obvious growth attributes and significantly benefited from its style. Brand differentiation in the fundamental dimension has intensified, and it is suggested that the flexible target with product and channel changes should be optimized from bottom to top.
CITIC Securities: Short-term white horse style may be dominated by stages due to compensatory growth and repair. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that looking forward to 2025, we expect that the market style will gradually switch from individual investors to institutional investors, and ETF will become an important configuration tool. We believe that the construction of ETF portfolio should mainly depend on the judgment of style rotation and timing. We believe that in the short term, Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party and the Central Economic Work Conference will once again confirm the policy inflection point, which is expected to boost institutional investors' risk appetite, and the white horse style may prevail in stages due to compensatory growth and repair. However, in the large-cycle environment, it is still unable to meet the conditions for the continued dominance of white horse stocks, and it is necessary to continue to observe the price signals and policies.CITIC Jiantou: The food and beverage industry is expected to usher in an inflection point. The CITIC Jiantou research report pointed out that 1) focusing on boosting consumption and expanding effective domestic demand, the food and beverage industry is expected to usher in an inflection point, and its performance and valuation are expected to continue to improve. The liquor sector is expected to rebound with the boost of the domestic economy and the activation of household consumption, and the business scene and mass consumption boom will return to the consumption upgrading channel, and the profitability of leading liquor companies is expected to accelerate the repair. At present, the overall valuation of the liquor sector is still at a low level, and the long-term investment value is prominent. 2) With the increase of policy stimulus, the pro-cyclical catering chain is expected to take the lead in benefiting from the expected improvement. Continue to be optimistic: 1) The leisure snacks and beverage industries maintain a high degree of prosperity, and new channels bring important incremental opportunities to companies in the industry; 2) In combination with the catering channels that continue to recover, it is suggested to pay attention to condiments, beer and catering chain labels with innovative products or reform expectations, and at the same time, the current molasses market price is further reduced from the previous month, which is of great help to yeast enterprises to improve their profit elasticity; 3) The inflection point of the raw milk cycle is approaching, the gift scene is expected to be repaired, and the dairy products continue to upgrade their structure, with high dividends and outstanding cost performance.This year's performance is the worst since the epidemic, and Starbucks will reduce the salary increase for its employees. An internal document shows that in view of the company's worst financial performance since the epidemic, Starbucks will reduce the salary increase for its coffee shop employees. According to different qualifications, this year's salary increase is generally between 2% and 3%, while last year's salary increase was at least 3%, and employees who have served for five years or more were at least 5%. The salary increase will take effect on December 30, and employees will see the change of payroll on January 10 or January 17.
After the release of the Bank of Japan's short-term report, the yen rose slightly.Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.